Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | UIW +230 NWST -225 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UIW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NWST +5 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -6.7 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-5.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -6.8 (+1.8) | 146.0 (-9.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -5.2 (+0.2) | 143.5 (-6.5) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -6.2 (+1.2) | 144.6 (-7.6) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -6.5 (+1.5) | 145.9 (-8.9) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 24, 2026 | NWST 54 – 49 UIW |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UIW 76 – 74 NWST |
| Mar 4, 2025 | NWST 73 – 57 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2024 | NWST 72 – 70 UIW |
| Feb 17, 2024 | NWST 81 – 61 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 22-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 13-5 |
| Home | 7-7 | 10-3 |
| Away | 3-12 | 10-7 |
| Neutral | 2-0 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.3 | 74.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -12.3 (#346) | -2.0 (#211) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.93 (#337) | 0.32 (#144) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.55 (#345) | -0.14 (#182) |
| RPI | 0.397 (#346) | 0.529 (#121) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UIW | NWST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 34.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.2 | 12.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 51.0% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 33.7% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 18.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 21.5% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 65.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 29.4% |
Game Analysis
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