Betting Lines
| Spread | SIUE -8.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | SIUE -350 LR +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SIUE win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +5 | 153 | Lost |
| Massey | SIUE -10.1 (-15.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SIUE -8.1 (-13.1) | 156.1 (-3.1) | 78% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SIUE -7.8 (-12.8) | 155.3 (-2.3) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SIUE -8.3 (-13.3) | 154.0 (-1.0) | 81% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SIUE -7.8 (-12.8) | 156.1 (-3.1) | 80% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 7, 2026 | SIUE 71 – 61 LR |
| Jan 9, 2026 | LR 73 – 70 SIUE |
| Mar 1, 2025 | SIUE 73 – 65 LR |
| Dec 20, 2024 | LR 60 – 56 SIUE |
| Feb 2, 2024 | SIUE 68 – 66 LR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 10-21 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 6-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 8-5 |
| Away | 7-8 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 75.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.1 | 80.9 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#227) | -10.1 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#228) | -2.06 (#346) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.95 (#250) | -2.43 (#338) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#184) | 0.394 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SIUE | LR |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 35.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.8% | 48.5% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 30.4% | 29.5% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 23.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.5% | 56.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.6% | 23.7% |
Game Analysis
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