Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -600 KC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +23 | 123 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -9.6 (+13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.0 (-7.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.3 (+13.7) | 135.0 (-12.0) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -9.5 (+13.5) | 133.8 (-10.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -10.0 (+13.0) | 135.9 (-12.9) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -9.2 (+13.8) | 137.4 (-14.4) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-13 | 11-21 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-2 | 6-8 |
| Away | 6-9 | 3-11 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 63.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 69.5 |
| Massey | 0.0 (#165) | -6.0 (#277) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.57 (#123) | -0.97 (#265) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.20 (#159) | -1.26 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.570 (#60) | 0.453 (#267) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 38.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.7% | 27.1% |
| REB / G | 31.7 | 37.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 13.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 19.9% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 36.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.7% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 73.0% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.5% | 30.3% |
Game Analysis
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