Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 156.5 Under |
| Money | SDAK +750 ORU -1000 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +12 | 152 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -16.0 (+4.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.3 (-1.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -13.6 (+1.6) | 152.9 (-0.9) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -13.6 (+1.6) | 153.3 (-1.3) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -14.4 (+2.4) | 153.6 (-1.6) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -13.2 (+1.2) | 154.7 (-2.7) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | ORU 67 – 62 SDAK |
| Jan 30, 2026 | SDAK 77 – 69 ORU |
| Feb 9, 2025 | SDAK 75 – 74 ORU |
| Jan 17, 2025 | SDAK 92 – 82 ORU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | ORU 77 – 62 SDAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 18-0 |
| Home | 8-6 | 16-0 |
| Away | 2-11 | 11-4 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 70.1 |
| Massey | -9.3 (#326) | 10.2 (#48) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.00 (#270) | 2.15 (#29) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#282) | 2.46 (#38) |
| RPI | 0.451 (#273) | 0.611 (#16) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDAK | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 48.1% |
| 3PT% | 37.8% | 37.7% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 36.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 8.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.48 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 56.6% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 22.0% | 18.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.2% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 72.6% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 16.2% |
Game Analysis
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