Betting Lines
| Spread | UVU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | TAR +130 UVU -138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TAR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TAR +19 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | UVU -3.8 (+22.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (-1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 29% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UVU -3.7 (+22.7) | 138.4 (-3.4) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UVU -3.2 (+22.2) | 138.9 (-3.9) | 45% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UVU -3.6 (+22.6) | 136.7 (-1.7) | 33% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | UVU -3.4 (+22.4) | 137.8 (-2.8) | 39% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UVU 79 – 72 TAR |
| Jan 30, 2026 | UVU 83 – 55 TAR |
| Jan 2, 2026 | UVU 91 – 85 TAR |
| Mar 9, 2025 | UVU 71 – 66 TAR |
| Feb 8, 2025 | UVU 81 – 56 TAR |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TAR | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-17 | 28-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 15-3 |
| Home | 13-2 | 14-1 |
| Away | 2-12 | 12-5 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 2-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.6 | 76.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.1 | 69.6 |
| Massey | -0.3 (#177) | 7.1 (#81) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.19 (#154) | 1.72 (#49) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.23 (#155) | 2.20 (#48) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#154) | 0.576 (#51) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TAR | UVU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.8% |
| REB / G | 30.0 | 39.9 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.3% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 25.9% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 32.0% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 44.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.4% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.7% | 19.3% |
Game Analysis
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