Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Over |
| Money | NOLA +180 NICH -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NOLA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +6 | 170 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -5.4 (+11.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.8 (+16.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 28% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 23% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -5.5 (+11.5) | 154.3 (+15.7) | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -5.3 (+11.3) | 153.3 (+16.7) | 32% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -5.5 (+11.5) | 152.8 (+17.2) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -5.0 (+11.0) | 154.3 (+15.7) | 32% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | NOLA 80 – 62 NICH |
| Jan 10, 2026 | NICH 90 – 77 NOLA |
| Feb 18, 2025 | NICH 78 – 62 NOLA |
| Dec 7, 2024 | NICH 73 – 70 NOLA |
| Feb 20, 2024 | NICH 89 – 77 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 16-15 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 6-9 | 11-2 |
| Away | 4-10 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.2 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.1 | 75.6 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#352) | -4.7 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.34 (#355) | -0.75 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.80 (#354) | -0.86 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#345) | 0.480 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NOLA | NICH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.8% | 44.7% |
| 3PT% | 38.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 32.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.6% | 50.8% |
| TOV% | 24.4% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.2% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 25.2% | 17.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.6% | 23.1% |
| DRB% | 67.9% | 66.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.4% | 36.1% |
Game Analysis
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