Betting Lines
| Spread | NKU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +100 NKU -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NKU +3 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -3.5 (-6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.3 (-9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -1.9 (-4.9) | 139.8 (-8.8) | 55% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -2.6 (-5.6) | 140.1 (-9.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -2.3 (-5.3) | 140.8 (-9.8) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -2.7 (-5.7) | 141.4 (-10.4) | 62% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | DETM 90 – 77 NKU |
| Jan 16, 2026 | NKU 96 – 71 DETM |
| Mar 5, 2025 | NKU 99 – 75 DETM |
| Jan 31, 2025 | DETM 68 – 57 NKU |
| Dec 19, 2024 | NKU 73 – 60 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-19 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 9-11 | 14-6 |
| Home | 9-5 | 14-3 |
| Away | 5-13 | 6-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 2-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.1 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.7 | 64.7 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#199) | -1.1 (#197) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#240) | -0.16 (#192) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#214) | -0.03 (#175) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#218) | 0.511 (#159) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | NKU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 39.6% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 31.9 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.2% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 17.7% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 30.8% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 17.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 24.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.4% | 20.6% |
Game Analysis
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