Betting Lines
| Spread | WRST -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 158.5 Under |
| Money | OAK +130 WRST -125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +7 | 143 | Won |
| Massey | WRST -2.8 (+9.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.8 (-18.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WRST -2.2 (+9.2) | 162.1 (-19.1) | 48% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WRST -2.5 (+9.5) | 160.9 (-17.9) | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WRST -2.9 (+9.9) | 161.0 (-18.0) | 41% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WRST -2.6 (+9.6) | 162.4 (-19.4) | 46% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 11, 2026 | WRST 94 – 84 OAK |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WRST 88 – 73 OAK |
| Jan 10, 2025 | WRST 66 – 62 OAK |
| Dec 6, 2024 | OAK 66 – 64 WRST |
| Feb 25, 2024 | WRST 96 – 75 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 5-10 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 78.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -6.7 (#289) | -0.3 (#175) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#257) | -0.55 (#230) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#263) | -0.53 (#224) |
| RPI | 0.473 (#237) | 0.469 (#241) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | WRST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 48.9% |
| 3PT% | 30.4% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 30.7 | 36.7 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 9.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.0% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 26.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.4% | 17.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.8% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 66.9% | 73.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.0% | 18.3% |
Game Analysis
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