Betting Lines
| Spread | GWEB -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | GWEB -120 LONG +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GWEB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LONG +12 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | GWEB -2.1 (-14.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GWEB -0.0 (-12.0) | 132.0 (+6.0) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GWEB -0.1 (-12.1) | 128.8 (+9.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GWEB -0.4 (-12.4) | 130.8 (+7.2) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | GWEB -0.5 (-12.5) | 132.5 (+5.5) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 5, 2026 | LONG 86 – 66 GWEB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | LONG 91 – 56 GWEB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | LONG 90 – 77 GWEB |
| Jan 30, 2025 | GWEB 92 – 87 LONG |
| Mar 1, 2024 | GWEB 72 – 69 LONG |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-16 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 12-3 |
| Away | 6-10 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.4 | 71.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.7 | 66.4 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#180) | 1.1 (#151) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.46 (#222) | -0.23 (#195) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.52 (#221) | -0.29 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#196) | 0.501 (#181) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GWEB | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.7% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 23.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 21.6% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 73.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 22.9% |
Game Analysis
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