Betting Lines
| Spread | UTEP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | FIU +120 UTEP -154 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTEP +5 | 169 | Lost |
| Massey | FIU -1.9 (-6.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.4 (+32.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FIU -0.9 (-5.9) | 138.8 (+30.2) | 54% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FIU -0.1 (-5.1) | 136.8 (+32.2) | 48% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FIU -2.0 (-7.0) | 136.8 (+32.2) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FIU -1.0 (-6.0) | 137.0 (+32.0) | 55% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 23, 2026 | UTEP 83 – 77 FIU |
| Jan 4, 2026 | FIU 76 – 64 UTEP |
| Feb 14, 2025 | UTEP 77 – 63 FIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | UTEP 81 – 73 FIU |
| Mar 8, 2024 | UTEP 83 – 76 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 7-13 |
| Home | 11-7 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-10 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.5 | 69.4 |
| Massey | -2.7 (#218) | -0.9 (#193) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.01 (#171) | -0.22 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.34 (#202) | -0.33 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.483 (#213) | 0.485 (#207) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FIU | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 31.7% | 26.4% |
| REB / G | 31.3 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 11.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.78 | 0.71 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.0% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 22.3% |
| ORB% | 24.7% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.2% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.5% | 23.3% |
| DRB% | 64.3% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 27.6% |
Game Analysis
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