Betting Lines
| Spread | MEM -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | WICH +125 MEM -163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MEM +5 | 161 | Lost |
| Massey | MEM -3.7 (-1.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.2 (+13.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 27% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MEM -2.9 (-2.1) | 152.6 (+8.4) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MEM -2.5 (-2.5) | 151.9 (+9.1) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MEM -2.9 (-2.1) | 149.0 (+12.0) | 35% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MEM -2.7 (-2.3) | 152.2 (+8.8) | 34% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | WICH 88 – 82 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2026 | WICH 74 – 59 MEM |
| Mar 14, 2025 | MEM 83 – 80 WICH |
| Feb 16, 2025 | WICH 84 – 79 MEM |
| Jan 24, 2025 | MEM 61 – 53 WICH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 26-9 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 13-5 |
| Home | 8-9 | 13-2 |
| Away | 7-4 | 7-5 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 6-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.0 | 79.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.5 | 71.8 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#118) | 10.5 (#42) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#138) | 2.00 (#40) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.51 (#133) | 2.74 (#25) |
| RPI | 0.518 (#144) | 0.600 (#23) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WICH | MEM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 48.2% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 52.9% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 29.5% | 31.4% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 26.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.3% | 47.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 21.0% |
| DRB% | 70.8% | 68.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.7% |
Game Analysis
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