Betting Lines
| Spread | BOIS -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | BOIS -350 UNLV +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BOIS win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BOIS +4 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | BOIS -9.4 (-5.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 138.6 (+3.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 86% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BOIS -8.2 (-4.2) | 140.4 (+1.6) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BOIS -8.4 (-4.4) | 139.9 (+2.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BOIS -8.5 (-4.5) | 139.6 (+2.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BOIS -8.4 (-4.4) | 141.1 (+0.9) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | UNLV 86 – 83 BOIS |
| Jan 14, 2026 | UNLV 89 – 85 BOIS |
| Feb 5, 2025 | BOIS 71 – 62 UNLV |
| Jan 8, 2025 | BOIS 81 – 59 UNLV |
| Jan 17, 2024 | UNLV 68 – 64 BOIS |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-10 | 19-13 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 14-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 5-6 | 5-5 |
| Neutral | 5-3 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.5 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.0 | 70.5 |
| Massey | 12.0 (#27) | 6.2 (#87) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.18 (#28) | 1.00 (#89) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 2.81 (#24) | 1.52 (#76) |
| RPI | 0.606 (#22) | 0.551 (#88) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BOIS | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.5% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.0% | 34.1% |
| REB / G | 36.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.96 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 49.7% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 26.9% | 27.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.1% | 27.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 25.7% |
| DRB% | 77.7% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.3% | 21.5% |
Game Analysis
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