Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | STBK +650 HOF -800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | STBK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | HOF -12.0 (+9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (+1.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.1 (+9.1) | 133.5 (-0.5) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -11.8 (+8.8) | 134.4 (-1.4) | 15% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.6 (+8.6) | 132.1 (+0.9) | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -12.5 (+9.5) | 133.2 (-0.2) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | HOF 67 – 58 STBK |
| Jan 16, 2026 | STBK 76 – 71 HOF |
| Feb 28, 2025 | STBK 59 – 56 HOF |
| Feb 8, 2025 | STBK 80 – 75 HOF |
| Mar 12, 2024 | STBK 63 – 59 HOF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-22 | 25-10 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 16-2 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 3-13 | 11-5 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 61.5 | 74.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 66.9 |
| Massey | -10.3 (#336) | 5.4 (#94) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.44 (#306) | 1.20 (#80) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.94 (#316) | 1.35 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.435 (#302) | 0.582 (#43) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | STBK | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.1% | 47.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.4 | 7.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.4% | 55.1% |
| TOV% | 19.4% | 16.3% |
| ORB% | 22.3% | 22.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.5% | 15.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 46.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.1% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.1% | 17.3% |
Game Analysis
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