Betting Lines
| Spread | FGCU -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Over |
| Money | FGCU -175 STET +175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | FGCU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | STET +4 | 172 | Lost |
| Massey | FGCU -3.5 (-7.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | FGCU -2.5 (-6.5) | 148.3 (+23.7) | 66% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | FGCU -3.6 (-7.6) | 146.6 (+25.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | FGCU -2.6 (-6.6) | 147.9 (+24.1) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | FGCU -2.3 (-6.3) | 150.1 (+21.9) | 66% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | STET 78 – 63 FGCU |
| Feb 14, 2026 | FGCU 78 – 76 STET |
| Feb 21, 2025 | FGCU 83 – 80 STET |
| Feb 1, 2025 | FGCU 82 – 56 STET |
| Feb 17, 2024 | STET 61 – 60 FGCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 17-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 12-6 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-3 |
| Away | 6-9 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.2 | 74.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#174) | -0.1 (#172) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#140) | 0.54 (#126) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.60 (#127) | 0.57 (#130) |
| RPI | 0.525 (#130) | 0.541 (#104) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | FGCU | STET |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 34.6 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 1.25 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.0% | 53.8% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 18.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.4% | 15.3% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 70.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.3% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.