Betting Lines
| Spread | LIB -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | JXST +550 LIB -700 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | JXST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LIB +24 | 134 | Lost |
| Massey | LIB -10.6 (-13.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.1 (+5.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LIB -10.6 (-13.4) | 133.6 (+0.4) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LIB -10.3 (-13.7) | 133.8 (+0.2) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LIB -9.6 (-14.4) | 134.1 (-0.1) | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LIB -10.1 (-13.9) | 133.9 (+0.1) | 21% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LIB 81 – 78 JXST |
| Jan 4, 2026 | LIB 78 – 69 JXST |
| Mar 16, 2025 | LIB 79 – 67 JXST |
| Feb 28, 2025 | LIB 59 – 55 JXST |
| Feb 1, 2025 | JXST 72 – 61 LIB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 27-9 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 15-3 |
| Home | 9-5 | 19-1 |
| Away | 3-12 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.1 | 72.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.2 | 62.3 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#268) | 8.8 (#61) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.02 (#275) | 1.35 (#65) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.18 (#264) | 1.60 (#72) |
| RPI | 0.437 (#298) | 0.582 (#41) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | JXST | LIB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 46.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 36.7% |
| REB / G | 35.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.86 | 1.47 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.8% | 55.8% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 29.7% | 25.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.0% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 49.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.7% | 19.7% |
| DRB% | 75.4% | 79.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.9% |
Game Analysis
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