Betting Lines
| Spread | COR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | COR -225 HARV +220 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HARV +17 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | COR -7.7 (-24.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.0 (-23.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | COR -6.3 (-23.3) | 150.4 (-21.4) | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | COR -4.9 (-21.9) | 148.8 (-19.8) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | COR -5.4 (-22.4) | 150.1 (-21.1) | 73% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | COR -5.9 (-22.9) | 152.9 (-23.9) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | HARV 73 – 54 COR |
| Jan 24, 2026 | COR 86 – 79 HARV |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HARV 75 – 73 COR |
| Feb 1, 2025 | COR 75 – 60 HARV |
| Feb 16, 2024 | COR 75 – 62 HARV |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-11 | 14-14 |
| Conference | 7-7 | 5-9 |
| Home | 11-2 | 5-7 |
| Away | 6-8 | 8-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.4 | 68.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.3 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 4.2 (#107) | 0.1 (#167) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.49 (#131) | -0.35 (#210) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.67 (#122) | -0.44 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#111) | 0.495 (#190) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COR | HARV |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 29.7% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.49 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.6% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 21.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.4% | 48.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.1% | 18.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.3% | 18.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.