Betting Lines
| Spread | PRIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | PRIN -138 YALE +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YALE +10 | 176 | Lost |
| Massey | YALE -1.0 (-9.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.7 (+35.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YALE -0.8 (-9.2) | 142.8 (+33.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YALE -1.3 (-8.7) | 139.8 (+36.2) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YALE -1.0 (-9.0) | 143.3 (+32.7) | 49% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YALE -0.9 (-9.1) | 144.3 (+31.7) | 46% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 7, 2026 | YALE 78 – 53 PRIN |
| Jan 10, 2026 | PRIN 76 – 60 YALE |
| Mar 15, 2025 | YALE 59 – 57 PRIN |
| Feb 16, 2025 | YALE 84 – 57 PRIN |
| Jan 31, 2025 | YALE 77 – 70 PRIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-9 | 21-9 |
| Conference | 10-4 | 10-4 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-1 |
| Away | 7-4 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 5-2 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.8 | 64.3 |
| Massey | 4.3 (#106) | 8.9 (#57) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.44 (#136) | 0.93 (#97) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#115) | 1.29 (#90) |
| RPI | 0.538 (#115) | 0.564 (#66) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRIN | YALE |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.9% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 37.9 | 37.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.5 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 53.0% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 16.5% |
| ORB% | 28.3% | 29.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.0% | 18.8% |
| DRB% | 77.9% | 77.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.2% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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