Betting Lines
| Spread | MTSU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | MTSU -350 FIU +333 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MTSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MTSU +11 | 127 | Won |
| Massey | MTSU -9.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.3 (-17.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MTSU -8.1 (+2.9) | 143.9 (-16.9) | 79% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MTSU -9.6 (+1.4) | 143.4 (-16.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MTSU -7.6 (+3.4) | 147.0 (-20.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MTSU -7.7 (+3.3) | 147.9 (-20.9) | 79% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MTSU 73 – 67 FIU |
| Feb 5, 2026 | FIU 88 – 84 MTSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | MTSU 78 – 56 FIU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | MTSU 73 – 69 FIU |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MTSU 68 – 66 FIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MTSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 8-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 11-7 |
| Away | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Neutral | 4-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.0 | 75.5 |
| Massey | 3.1 (#120) | -2.7 (#217) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.79 (#106) | 0.06 (#164) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.69 (#120) | -0.29 (#196) |
| RPI | 0.557 (#75) | 0.485 (#205) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MTSU | FIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.3% | 46.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 31.4% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 31.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 52.3% |
| TOV% | 19.5% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 24.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.1% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.0% | 22.7% |
| DRB% | 71.1% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.7% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.