Betting Lines
| Spread | ASU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | ASU -175 UTAH +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ASU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ASU +8 | 126 | Won |
| Massey | ASU -1.5 (+6.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-8.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 72% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ASU -2.3 (+5.7) | 136.4 (-10.4) | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ASU -2.8 (+5.2) | 137.1 (-11.1) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ASU -2.4 (+5.6) | 134.7 (-8.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ASU -2.1 (+5.9) | 133.8 (-7.8) | 64% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | ASU 73 – 60 UTAH |
| Feb 5, 2026 | ASU 71 – 63 UTAH |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UTAH 99 – 73 ASU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | UTAH 90 – 57 ASU |
| Feb 11, 2024 | ASU 85 – 77 UTAH |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-13 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 10-10 |
| Home | 10-5 | 12-6 |
| Away | 7-6 | 4-7 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 68.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.0 | 63.8 |
| Massey | 7.7 (#74) | 9.9 (#50) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.27 (#72) | 0.99 (#91) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.58 (#74) | 1.31 (#87) |
| RPI | 0.551 (#88) | 0.521 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ASU | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 31.5% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 39.1 |
| OREB / G | 11.4 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 50.3% |
| TOV% | 17.3% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.6% | 43.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.3% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 71.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.8% | 16.0% |
Game Analysis
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