Betting Lines
| Spread | ARMY -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | ARMY -175 LAF +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ARMY win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ARMY +10 | 96 | Won |
| Massey | ARMY -4.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.3 (-36.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ARMY -2.4 (+7.6) | 132.6 (-36.6) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ARMY -2.0 (+8.0) | 130.8 (-34.8) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ARMY -2.6 (+7.4) | 133.7 (-37.7) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ARMY -2.5 (+7.5) | 134.1 (-38.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | LAF 83 – 77 ARMY |
| Feb 7, 2026 | LAF 63 – 60 ARMY |
| Feb 26, 2025 | LAF 81 – 65 ARMY |
| Jan 15, 2025 | ARMY 70 – 68 LAF |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LAF 64 – 56 ARMY |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-16 | 11-23 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-7 |
| Away | 7-8 | 5-16 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 62.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -4.0 (#236) | -4.7 (#249) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#277) | -1.40 (#298) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.20 (#265) | -1.56 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.454 (#271) | 0.458 (#265) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ARMY | LAF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 41.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.3% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 32.9 | 31.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 1.33 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.5% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 26.4% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.1% | 15.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.3% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 19.4% |
| DRB% | 75.8% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 21.0% |
Game Analysis
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