Betting Lines
| Spread | AAMU -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | AAMU -200 BCU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AAMU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AAMU +34 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | AAMU -8.3 (+25.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.2 (+1.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AAMU -5.3 (+28.7) | 146.0 (+0.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AAMU -5.2 (+28.8) | 145.0 (+1.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AAMU -5.3 (+28.7) | 143.9 (+2.1) | 72% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AAMU -5.3 (+28.7) | 144.4 (+1.6) | 73% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | BCU 85 – 76 AAMU |
| Feb 3, 2026 | BCU 80 – 62 AAMU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | BCU 68 – 64 AAMU |
| Feb 4, 2025 | BCU 89 – 75 AAMU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | BCU 63 – 61 AAMU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 8-10 |
| Home | 9-8 | 8-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.0 | 67.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.0 | 76.6 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#328) | -14.0 (#355) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.71 (#323) | -1.96 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.22 (#332) | -2.61 (#349) |
| RPI | 0.410 (#333) | 0.382 (#356) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AAMU | BCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 34.1% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.2% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.7% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 26.6% |
| FT Rate | 21.4% | 21.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.6% | 18.9% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.5% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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