Betting Lines
| Spread | TXSO -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | TXSO -600 MVSU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TXSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TXSO +18 | 142 | Won |
| Massey | TXSO -10.4 (+7.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (+4.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TXSO -8.0 (+10.0) | 142.4 (-0.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TXSO -9.4 (+8.6) | 140.2 (+1.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TXSO -8.1 (+9.9) | 141.3 (+0.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TXSO -8.3 (+9.7) | 143.0 (-1.0) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MVSU 72 – 71 TXSO |
| Jan 13, 2026 | TXSO 84 – 51 MVSU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | TXSO 79 – 38 MVSU |
| Jan 14, 2025 | TXSO 82 – 53 MVSU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | TXSO 73 – 52 MVSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-21 | 5-27 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 4-14 |
| Home | 7-6 | 4-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 61.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.2 | 74.8 |
| Massey | -8.5 (#316) | -15.2 (#359) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.64 (#318) | -2.56 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.03 (#323) | -2.97 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.432 (#305) | 0.387 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TXSO | MVSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.4% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 28.4% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 0.60 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.4% | 44.3% |
| TOV% | 20.5% | 23.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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