Betting Lines
| Spread | WIN -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | CHSO +130 WIN -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CHSO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIN +8 | 142 | Lost |
| Massey | CHSO -1.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 50% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIN -0.0 (-8.0) | 148.1 (-6.1) | 44% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIN -1.2 (-6.8) | 144.8 (-2.8) | 46% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIN -0.2 (-7.8) | 150.0 (-8.0) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIN -0.4 (-7.6) | 151.3 (-9.3) | 42% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | WIN 86 – 81 CHSO |
| Feb 27, 2026 | CHSO 86 – 84 WIN |
| Jan 7, 2026 | WIN 81 – 77 CHSO |
| Feb 6, 2025 | WIN 83 – 65 CHSO |
| Jan 15, 2025 | WIN 102 – 97 CHSO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 10-8 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 3-12 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.4 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.4 | 75.8 |
| Massey | -7.0 (#292) | -4.4 (#245) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.72 (#324) | -0.88 (#261) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.88 (#314) | -1.12 (#260) |
| RPI | 0.415 (#329) | 0.460 (#260) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CHSO | WIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 46.2% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 37.8% |
| REB / G | 33.8 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.94 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 33.1% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.8% | 30.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 54.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 68.7% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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