Betting Lines
| Spread | ETAM -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | ETAM +100 SELA +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ETAM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SELA +2 | 154 | Lost |
| Massey | ETAM -1.6 (-3.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.3 (+5.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SELA -0.1 (-1.9) | 148.9 (+5.1) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ETAM -1.2 (-3.2) | 146.1 (+7.9) | 47% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ETAM -0.7 (-2.7) | 148.2 (+5.8) | 52% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ETAM -0.3 (-2.3) | 150.1 (+3.9) | 53% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 16, 2026 | ETAM 70 – 53 SELA |
| Dec 16, 2025 | ETAM 70 – 69 SELA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SELA 83 – 65 ETAM |
| Jan 20, 2025 | SELA 76 – 68 ETAM |
| Feb 13, 2024 | SELA 79 – 77 ETAM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 12-6 |
| Home | 5-5 | 10-4 |
| Away | 7-12 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.7 | 75.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.8 |
| Massey | -8.4 (#313) | -6.3 (#280) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.36 (#294) | -0.76 (#249) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#319) | -1.24 (#268) |
| RPI | 0.436 (#300) | 0.464 (#250) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ETAM | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 30.6% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 26.8% | 26.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 25.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.5% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 20.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 69.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.8% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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