Betting Lines
| Spread | EWU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 160.5 Over |
| Money | EWU -450 UNCO +310 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | EWU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | EWU +12 | 166 | Won |
| Massey | EWU -9.8 (+2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.7 (+10.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | EWU -8.2 (+3.8) | 155.5 (+10.5) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | EWU -7.1 (+4.9) | 152.6 (+13.4) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | EWU -9.0 (+3.0) | 155.1 (+10.9) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | EWU -8.4 (+3.6) | 156.3 (+9.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | EWU 82 – 72 UNCO |
| Jan 31, 2026 | UNCO 74 – 71 EWU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | UNCO 95 – 76 EWU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | UNCO 67 – 62 EWU |
| Feb 25, 2024 | EWU 85 – 76 UNCO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-1 | 6-7 |
| Away | 10-7 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 2-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 77.7 |
| Massey | 2.8 (#126) | -3.3 (#225) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.95 (#96) | -0.72 (#245) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.97 (#106) | -0.78 (#241) |
| RPI | 0.545 (#98) | 0.464 (#251) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | EWU | UNCO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 48.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 37.1% |
| REB / G | 35.7 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 8.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.8% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 20.1% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 24.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.7% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.2% | 52.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.3% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 72.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.1% | 22.6% |
Game Analysis
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