Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | LR -188 EIU +200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +4 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | LR -4.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -2.9 (+1.1) | 152.2 (+5.8) | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -3.5 (+0.5) | 150.0 (+8.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -2.5 (+1.5) | 149.5 (+8.5) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -2.7 (+1.3) | 150.5 (+7.5) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | EIU 78 – 72 LR |
| Jan 16, 2026 | LR 74 – 63 EIU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | EIU 71 – 60 LR |
| Jan 27, 2025 | EIU 56 – 54 LR |
| Feb 3, 2024 | LR 71 – 47 EIU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-21 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 6-9 |
| Away | 2-16 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.3 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.9 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -10.0 (#333) | -10.8 (#340) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.14 (#348) | -2.00 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.49 (#340) | -2.49 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.387 (#352) | 0.402 (#341) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | EIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.7% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.6% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 34.7 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.12 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 29.3% | 26.0% |
| FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.2% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.1% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.1% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
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