Betting Lines
| Spread | AMCC -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | MCN +180 AMCC -175 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MCN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AMCC +23 | 131 | Lost |
| Massey | AMCC -5.9 (-17.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.9 (-15.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 25% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMCC -6.3 (-16.7) | 144.7 (-13.7) | 24% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMCC -6.1 (-16.9) | 142.7 (-11.7) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMCC -6.0 (-17.0) | 145.0 (-14.0) | 26% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | AMCC -5.7 (-17.3) | 146.8 (-15.8) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 22, 2026 | MCN 70 – 54 AMCC |
| Jan 19, 2026 | MCN 69 – 53 AMCC |
| Feb 22, 2025 | MCN 73 – 57 AMCC |
| Jan 28, 2025 | MCN 74 – 73 AMCC |
| Feb 10, 2024 | MCN 74 – 67 AMCC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 11-23 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 14-4 |
| Home | 6-8 | 13-2 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-7 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.9 | 78.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.1 | 73.6 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#338) | -1.0 (#194) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.97 (#338) | -0.21 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.66 (#350) | -0.27 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#278) | 0.504 (#168) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MCN | AMCC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.4% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.8% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.3 | 11.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.3% | 50.9% |
| TOV% | 22.1% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 31.4% | 31.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.5% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.1% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.7% | 21.8% |
| DRB% | 68.4% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.4% | 27.0% |
Game Analysis
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