Betting Lines
| Spread | NWST -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | NWST -600 NOLA +550 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NWST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NOLA +3 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | NWST -17.0 (-20.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.8 (-19.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NWST -13.8 (-16.8) | 152.1 (-19.1) | 88% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NWST -12.9 (-15.9) | 151.8 (-18.8) | 85% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NWST -13.1 (-16.1) | 153.6 (-20.6) | 88% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | NWST -13.9 (-16.9) | 154.9 (-21.9) | 88% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 31, 2026 | NOLA 75 – 64 NWST |
| Jan 3, 2026 | NWST 74 – 68 NOLA |
| Feb 22, 2025 | NWST 73 – 66 NOLA |
| Jan 20, 2025 | NWST 73 – 61 NOLA |
| Feb 13, 2024 | NWST 70 – 59 NOLA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-11 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 7-11 |
| Home | 10-3 | 6-9 |
| Away | 10-7 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.5 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.1 |
| Massey | -1.2 (#196) | -14.5 (#356) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.63 (#117) | -2.66 (#356) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#164) | -3.05 (#356) |
| RPI | 0.540 (#107) | 0.386 (#353) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NWST | NOLA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.9% | 46.8% |
| 3PT% | 36.6% | 38.6% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.9 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 24.4% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 28.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.9% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.4% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 65.0% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.3% | 29.8% |
Game Analysis
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