Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Over |
| Money | UCI -300 UCD +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -9.0 (-7.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.1 (+4.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 82% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -8.0 (-6.0) | 145.3 (+8.7) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -7.2 (-5.2) | 146.0 (+8.0) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -8.3 (-6.3) | 146.5 (+7.5) | 80% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -8.3 (-6.3) | 146.9 (+7.1) | 80% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | UCI 79 – 69 UCD |
| Jan 17, 2026 | UCD 75 – 72 UCI |
| Mar 7, 2025 | UCI 88 – 59 UCD |
| Feb 1, 2025 | UCI 73 – 66 UCD |
| Jan 20, 2024 | UCD 54 – 52 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 18-14 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 11-8 |
| Home | 11-4 | 10-4 |
| Away | 9-7 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.9 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.1 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 6.4 (#83) | 1.1 (#148) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.83 (#102) | -0.05 (#179) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.16 (#99) | 0.18 (#156) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#113) | 0.506 (#162) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.2% | 45.4% |
| 3PT% | 37.7% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 35.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 11.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.3% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 21.3% |
| ORB% | 27.5% | 33.0% |
| FT Rate | 21.5% | 28.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.9% | 50.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 73.6% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.0% | 22.2% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.