Betting Lines
| Spread | TNTC -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | TNTC -110 UTM +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TNTC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UTM +9 | 191 | Lost |
| Massey | TNTC -1.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.3 (+38.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UTM -0.0 (-9.0) | 154.5 (+36.5) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TNTC -1.3 (-10.3) | 151.4 (+39.6) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TNTC -0.4 (-9.4) | 149.3 (+41.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | TNTC -0.1 (-9.1) | 152.2 (+38.8) | 49% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | UTM 64 – 49 TNTC |
| Dec 20, 2025 | UTM 86 – 62 TNTC |
| Mar 6, 2025 | UTM 70 – 67 TNTC |
| Feb 21, 2025 | TNTC 71 – 66 UTM |
| Jan 25, 2025 | TNTC 89 – 85 UTM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TNTC | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 10-8 |
| Home | 11-5 | 14-2 |
| Away | 4-11 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 77.1 |
| Massey | -7.4 (#294) | -5.0 (#256) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#292) | -0.78 (#253) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.60 (#288) | -1.05 (#256) |
| RPI | 0.448 (#279) | 0.475 (#229) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TNTC | UTM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 44.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 31.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 23.3% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 20.7% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.8% | 48.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.