Betting Lines
| Spread | APP -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 128.5 Over |
| Money | APP -138 ODU +138 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | APP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ODU +11 | 137 | Lost |
| Massey | APP -2.8 (-13.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 126.4 (+10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | APP -1.2 (-12.2) | 131.5 (+5.5) | 58% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | APP -1.1 (-12.1) | 131.3 (+5.7) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | APP -1.7 (-12.7) | 129.9 (+7.1) | 58% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | APP -1.2 (-12.2) | 130.6 (+6.4) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 17, 2026 | ODU 75 – 73 APP |
| Dec 31, 2025 | APP 81 – 73 ODU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ODU 61 – 56 APP |
| Jan 29, 2025 | ODU 78 – 77 APP |
| Jan 17, 2025 | APP 62 – 43 ODU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | APP | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 19-12 |
| Conference | 9-9 | 11-7 |
| Home | 10-7 | 12-4 |
| Away | 6-7 | 6-5 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.6 | 66.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.1 | 66.5 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#186) | 0.3 (#161) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.24 (#201) | 0.27 (#145) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.12 (#182) | 0.23 (#151) |
| RPI | 0.490 (#200) | 0.529 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | APP | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 36.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.5 | 11.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.5% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 24.1% | 32.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.0% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 48.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 18.0% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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