Betting Lines
| Spread | NICH -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | NICH -700 UIW +600 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | NICH win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NICH +10 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | NICH -11.8 (-1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+14.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NICH -10.3 (-0.3) | 148.4 (+9.6) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NICH -10.1 (-0.1) | 144.6 (+13.4) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NICH -10.6 (-0.6) | 146.5 (+11.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NICH -10.0 (-0.0) | 148.5 (+9.5) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | NICH 91 – 83 UIW |
| Dec 6, 2025 | NICH 74 – 67 UIW |
| Mar 11, 2025 | NICH 74 – 70 UIW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | NICH 88 – 82 UIW |
| Feb 27, 2024 | NICH 92 – 82 UIW |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-15 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.5 | 68.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.6 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -4.2 (#241) | -12.4 (#347) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.55 (#233) | -1.93 (#334) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.75 (#236) | -2.56 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#204) | 0.397 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | NICH | UIW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.1% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.3% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 32.0 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 9.3 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.83 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 18.7% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.4% | 27.0% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 24.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 53.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 20.3% |
| DRB% | 66.6% | 67.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.4% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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