Betting Lines
| Spread | NCCU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 137.5 Under |
| Money | DSU +400 NCCU -450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NCCU +8 | 124 | Lost |
| Massey | NCCU -9.8 (+1.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.3 (-13.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 33% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | NCCU -9.2 (+1.2) | 137.9 (-13.9) | 19% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NCCU -8.1 (+0.1) | 135.0 (-11.0) | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | NCCU -9.1 (+1.1) | 138.7 (-14.7) | 20% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | NCCU -8.7 (+0.7) | 140.0 (-16.0) | 19% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 14, 2026 | NCCU 59 – 53 DSU |
| Feb 28, 2026 | NCCU 74 – 60 DSU |
| Feb 10, 2026 | NCCU 72 – 63 DSU |
| Mar 14, 2025 | NCCU 79 – 77 DSU |
| Feb 25, 2025 | DSU 86 – 84 NCCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-24 | 18-12 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 10-4 |
| Home | 4-8 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-10 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.1 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.8 | 67.9 |
| Massey | -13.7 (#352) | -0.3 (#176) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#336) | -0.60 (#238) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.61 (#348) | -0.50 (#215) |
| RPI | 0.403 (#339) | 0.481 (#217) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DSU | NCCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 33.9 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.1% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 23.4% | 22.6% |
| ORB% | 30.5% | 32.5% |
| FT Rate | 19.3% | 23.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.8% | 23.8% |
Game Analysis
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