Betting Lines
| Spread | UMES -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | UMES -275 SCST +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UMES win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UMES +16 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | UMES -11.1 (+4.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UMES -9.6 (+6.4) | 149.5 (-9.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UMES -8.4 (+7.6) | 148.0 (-8.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UMES -10.1 (+5.9) | 151.0 (-11.0) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UMES -9.6 (+6.4) | 151.7 (-11.7) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | UMES 69 – 57 SCST |
| Feb 5, 2026 | SCST 63 – 54 UMES |
| Feb 25, 2025 | SCST 81 – 68 UMES |
| Jan 14, 2025 | SCST 78 – 64 UMES |
| Feb 27, 2024 | SCST 64 – 56 UMES |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-13 | 5-26 |
| Conference | 9-5 | 2-12 |
| Home | 10-3 | 4-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-19 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.7 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.9 | 84.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#253) | -12.4 (#348) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#160) | -1.79 (#327) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.15 (#185) | -2.34 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.511 (#151) | 0.414 (#330) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UMES | SCST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 31.3% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.8 | 13.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.89 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.0% | 47.5% |
| TOV% | 21.5% | 20.2% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 33.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 19.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 58.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.5% | 20.6% |
| DRB% | 68.3% | 66.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.5% | 32.4% |
Game Analysis
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