Betting Lines
| Spread | HOW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Under |
| Money | COPP +275 HOW -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | COPP win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOW +10 | 150 | Lost |
| Massey | HOW -4.1 (-5.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 161.5 (-11.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 30% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOW -5.3 (-4.7) | 155.2 (-5.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOW -6.6 (-3.4) | 153.4 (-3.4) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOW -4.6 (-5.4) | 159.0 (-9.0) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOW -4.5 (-5.5) | 160.8 (-10.8) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2026 | HOW 90 – 70 COPP |
| Feb 2, 2026 | HOW 72 – 53 COPP |
| Feb 25, 2025 | COPP 72 – 61 HOW |
| Jan 14, 2025 | HOW 90 – 75 COPP |
| Feb 27, 2024 | HOW 78 – 69 COPP |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-23 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 4-10 | 11-3 |
| Home | 4-6 | 12-2 |
| Away | 5-16 | 6-8 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.0 | 73.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 83.2 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -12.4 (#346) | -4.6 (#248) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.59 (#312) | -0.10 (#184) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.05 (#324) | -0.49 (#213) |
| RPI | 0.427 (#313) | 0.489 (#201) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | COPP | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 45.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.6% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 30.4 | 33.8 |
| OREB / G | 6.5 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.73 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 52.0% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 23.2% |
| ORB% | 18.4% | 31.3% |
| FT Rate | 26.8% | 24.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.5% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 63.8% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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