Betting Lines
| Spread | IDHO -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | IDHO -138 NAU +140 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IDHO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | NAU +22 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | IDHO -3.0 (-25.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.3 (-27.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | IDHO -1.0 (-23.0) | 151.0 (-29.0) | 60% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | NAU -0.1 (-21.9) | 146.3 (-24.3) | 54% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | IDHO -2.4 (-24.4) | 149.0 (-27.0) | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | IDHO -1.8 (-23.8) | 151.9 (-29.9) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | IDHO 78 – 58 NAU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | IDHO 79 – 62 NAU |
| Feb 21, 2025 | IDHO 83 – 78 NAU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | NAU 80 – 72 IDHO |
| Feb 24, 2024 | IDHO 86 – 76 NAU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 12-23 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-10 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L5 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.6 | 72.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.4 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#263) | -4.6 (#247) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.41 (#299) | -1.60 (#313) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.66 (#294) | -1.64 (#291) |
| RPI | 0.395 (#347) | 0.418 (#322) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IDHO | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 42.2% |
| 3PT% | 32.4% | 34.5% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 33.3 |
| OREB / G | 6.1 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.98 | 1.21 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 17.1% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 20.0% | 26.5% |
| FT Rate | 28.2% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.4% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 74.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.5% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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