Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 133.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -110 MRMK +110 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MRMK +12 | 122 | Lost |
| Massey | SHU -4.7 (-16.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 129.2 (-7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -2.1 (-14.1) | 134.0 (-12.0) | 51% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -1.4 (-13.4) | 132.0 (-10.0) | 45% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.4 (-14.4) | 131.6 (-9.6) | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.9 (-14.9) | 133.4 (-11.4) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 6, 2026 | MRMK 70 – 48 SHU |
| Feb 1, 2026 | MRMK 75 – 58 SHU |
| Dec 29, 2025 | MRMK 80 – 72 SHU |
| Mar 13, 2025 | MRMK 66 – 62 SHU |
| Feb 22, 2025 | SHU 60 – 59 MRMK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 18-16 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 12-4 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-6 |
| Away | 7-11 | 8-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | W11 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 61.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 64.0 |
| Massey | -8.8 (#319) | -9.9 (#332) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#307) | -1.58 (#311) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.74 (#297) | -1.95 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.442 (#289) | 0.450 (#276) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | MRMK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.2% | 39.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.1% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 26.3 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 6.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.05 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 21.4% |
| ORB% | 28.6% | 19.3% |
| FT Rate | 18.4% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 50.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 26.6% |
| DRB% | 69.9% | 63.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.5% | 19.5% |
Game Analysis
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