Betting Lines
| Spread | ME -7.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 138.5 Over |
| Money | ME -300 UALB +300 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ME win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ME +2 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | ME -10.4 (-8.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 140.4 (+5.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 84% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ME -8.3 (-6.3) | 140.7 (+5.3) | 80% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ME -7.1 (-5.1) | 139.8 (+6.2) | 76% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ME -8.5 (-6.5) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ME -8.8 (-6.8) | 140.6 (+5.4) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | ME 70 – 59 UALB |
| Jan 22, 2026 | ME 52 – 49 UALB |
| Feb 20, 2025 | UALB 79 – 68 ME |
| Jan 11, 2025 | ME 87 – 66 UALB |
| Mar 2, 2024 | ME 74 – 71 UALB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-17 | 8-23 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 3-13 |
| Home | 8-4 | 5-6 |
| Away | 5-12 | 2-16 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.5 | 66.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.7 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -5.0 (#257) | -11.8 (#343) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#282) | -2.16 (#350) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.32 (#275) | -2.60 (#347) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#286) | 0.406 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ME | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.4% | 40.3% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 31.7% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 33.0 |
| OREB / G | 7.0 | 10.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.04 | 0.86 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.8% | 46.7% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.1% |
| ORB% | 21.8% | 28.4% |
| FT Rate | 15.9% | 22.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.4% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 69.7% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.4% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.