Betting Lines
| Spread | AMER -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Under |
| Money | AMER -188 LEH +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | AMER win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LEH +3 | 121 | Lost |
| Massey | AMER -6.1 (-9.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.7 (-12.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 66% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | AMER -4.0 (-7.0) | 135.4 (-14.4) | 69% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | AMER -3.2 (-6.2) | 131.7 (-10.7) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | AMER -4.0 (-7.0) | 134.2 (-13.2) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | AMER -4.2 (-7.2) | 135.0 (-14.0) | 67% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 26, 2026 | LEH 78 – 73 AMER |
| Feb 12, 2026 | LEH 90 – 82 AMER |
| Feb 8, 2025 | AMER 78 – 75 LEH |
| Jan 23, 2025 | AMER 68 – 67 LEH |
| Jan 20, 2024 | LEH 70 – 68 AMER |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 16-14 |
| Conference | 7-11 | 11-7 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-6 |
| Away | 9-9 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 65.4 | 68.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 65.9 | 71.0 |
| Massey | -4.4 (#244) | -6.8 (#291) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.66 (#240) | -0.70 (#242) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.10 (#259) | -1.00 (#250) |
| RPI | 0.461 (#256) | 0.480 (#219) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | AMER | LEH |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 49.4% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 29.3 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 7.2 | 6.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 0.98 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 56.1% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 22.8% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 19.5% |
| FT Rate | 20.3% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.2% | 73.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.6% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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