Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Over |
| Money | LIU +275 SFPA -275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +11 | 175 | Lost |
| Massey | SFPA -6.6 (-4.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+23.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 18% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -7.1 (-3.9) | 149.5 (+25.5) | 23% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -5.2 (-5.8) | 146.5 (+28.5) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -6.0 (-5.0) | 143.7 (+31.3) | 23% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -6.2 (-4.8) | 145.7 (+29.3) | 22% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | LIU 91 – 89 SFPA |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LIU 67 – 63 SFPA |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SFPA 71 – 68 LIU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | SFPA 74 – 64 LIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | LIU 64 – 51 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 3-26 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 1-15 | 9-7 |
| Home | 2-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 1-14 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.0 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.9 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -20.7 (#363) | -10.5 (#337) |
| Bradley-Terry | -4.09 (#363) | -1.95 (#335) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -5.09 (#363) | -2.55 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.370 (#359) | 0.418 (#323) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LIU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 45.0% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 36.1% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.0% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 22.4% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 21.3% | 21.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 69.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.