Betting Lines
| Spread | CCSU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 129.5 Over |
| Money | CCSU -120 STO +125 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CCSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CCSU +4 | 184 | Won |
| Massey | CCSU -3.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.7 (+53.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 45% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CCSU -1.4 (+2.6) | 131.1 (+52.9) | 57% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | STO -0.6 (+4.6) | 131.5 (+52.5) | 49% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CCSU -0.5 (+3.5) | 130.0 (+54.0) | 53% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CCSU -1.1 (+2.9) | 131.3 (+52.7) | 55% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 27, 2026 | STO 61 – 59 CCSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | CCSU 76 – 69 STO |
| Feb 22, 2025 | CCSU 67 – 41 STO |
| Feb 1, 2025 | CCSU 71 – 63 STO |
| Mar 2, 2024 | CCSU 79 – 67 STO |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CCSU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 14-17 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 7-4 |
| Away | 4-14 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L3 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 70.4 |
| Massey | -9.7 (#329) | -9.3 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.12 (#347) | -1.26 (#290) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.56 (#344) | -1.85 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.416 (#328) | 0.475 (#228) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CCSU | STO |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.7% | 43.7% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 35.2% |
| REB / G | 33.3 | 30.3 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 5.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.07 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.6% | 51.1% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 18.5% |
| FT Rate | 16.4% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 50.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 19.6% |
| DRB% | 71.8% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.5% | 19.2% |
Game Analysis
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