You just want to be on the side that's winning. "Positively 4th Street" - Bob Dylan
Southern Conference · McAlister Field House · February 18, 2023
Betting Lines
Spread WOF -3.5 Away covered
O/U 143.5 Under
Money CIT +163 / WOF -163
Model Predictions
Spread Total CIT win
Actual WOF +4 140 Lost
Massey WOF -2.1 (-1.9) — —
Massey Totals — 145.9 (-5.9) —
Bradley-Terry — — 45% ✓
Weighted B-T — — 49% ✓
Baseline Plus ML WOF -2.0 (-2.0) 147.4 (-7.4) 40% ✓
Efficiency Plus ML ★ WOF -3.6 (-0.4) 143.9 (-3.9) 36% ✓
Baseline Tuned ML WOF -1.6 (-2.4) 146.3 (-6.3) 44% ✓
Baseline ML WOF -2.0 (-2.0) 147.7 (-7.7) 45% ✓

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 28, 2026 CIT 93 – 90 WOF
Jan 3, 2026 WOF 95 – 86 CIT
Feb 13, 2025 WOF 74 – 71 CIT
Jan 23, 2025 WOF 79 – 68 CIT
Feb 11, 2024 WOF 77 – 64 CIT

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings CIT WOF
Overall 10-22 17-16
Conference 5-13 8-10
Home 5-9 12-4
Away 4-11 4-11
Neutral 1-2 1-1
Last 5 1-4 1-4
Streak L4 L1
Avg Pts For 66.1 72.3
Avg Pts Against 74.5 74.0
Massey -8.9 (#321) -3.2 (#224)
Bradley-Terry -1.57 (#309) -0.70 (#243)
W. Bradley-Terry -1.80 (#307) -0.99 (#249)
RPI 0.418 (#321) 0.460 (#259)
Shooting & Four Factors CIT WOF
FG% 43.5% 46.1%
3PT% 33.7% 32.2%
REB / G 31.0 31.5
OREB / G 6.7 8.7
AST / TO 0.93 1.10
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 50.1% 52.4%
TOV% 18.2% 16.3%
ORB% 20.3% 27.1%
FT Rate 21.6% 22.5%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 51.9% 54.3%
Opp TOV% 16.6% 16.5%
DRB% 69.1% 70.9%
Opp FT Rate 24.8% 18.6%

Game Analysis

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