Betting Lines
| Spread | UML -11.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | UML -800 BING +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UML win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UML +14 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | UML -13.3 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.1 (+10.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UML -12.0 (+2.0) | 143.5 (+10.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UML -10.8 (+3.2) | 141.9 (+12.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UML -12.3 (+1.7) | 143.7 (+10.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UML -11.8 (+2.2) | 143.6 (+10.4) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | UML 92 – 79 BING |
| Jan 10, 2026 | UML 73 – 68 BING |
| Mar 1, 2025 | UML 79 – 53 BING |
| Feb 6, 2025 | BING 66 – 54 UML |
| Feb 22, 2024 | UML 87 – 80 BING |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-8 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 8-8 |
| Home | 17-0 | 8-7 |
| Away | 9-8 | 5-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.1 | 72.5 |
| Massey | 2.2 (#130) | -7.4 (#295) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.30 (#143) | -1.00 (#272) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.36 (#143) | -1.62 (#289) |
| RPI | 0.522 (#136) | 0.471 (#236) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UML | BING |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.2% | 45.1% |
| 3PT% | 36.7% | 31.0% |
| REB / G | 38.2 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 9.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 49.8% |
| TOV% | 20.8% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 35.4% | 28.8% |
| FT Rate | 23.6% | 21.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.6% | 50.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.4% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 73.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 26.0% |
Game Analysis
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