Betting Lines
| Spread | BU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Over |
| Money | BU -175 BUCK +180 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | BU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | BU +16 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | BU -4.2 (+11.8) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.7 (+3.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 74% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | BU -3.1 (+12.9) | 133.8 (+4.2) | 65% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | BU -3.6 (+12.4) | 133.2 (+4.8) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | BU -2.4 (+13.6) | 135.2 (+2.8) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | BU -2.5 (+13.5) | 135.9 (+2.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 14, 2026 | BU 82 – 69 BUCK |
| Jan 31, 2026 | BUCK 103 – 97 BU |
| Feb 13, 2025 | BUCK 76 – 60 BU |
| Jan 25, 2025 | BU 85 – 82 BUCK |
| Feb 10, 2024 | BU 77 – 62 BUCK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 5-13 |
| Home | 9-4 | 7-7 |
| Away | 6-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.2 | 66.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.7 | 69.0 |
| Massey | -6.0 (#276) | -6.6 (#288) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#285) | -1.61 (#315) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.57 (#287) | -1.92 (#315) |
| RPI | 0.447 (#281) | 0.417 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | BU | BUCK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.8% | 45.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 34.3% |
| REB / G | 35.5 | 33.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.80 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.1% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 19.0% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 30.1% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 50.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 75.2% | 74.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 17.1% |
Game Analysis
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