Betting Lines
| Spread | CONN -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 132.5 Under |
| Money | CONN -800 HALL +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | CONN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | CONN +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | CONN -12.7 (-3.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 132.7 (-13.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 83% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | CONN -12.0 (-3.0) | 134.8 (-15.8) | 87% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | CONN -12.3 (-3.3) | 133.3 (-14.3) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | CONN -10.9 (-1.9) | 136.7 (-17.7) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | CONN -10.8 (-1.8) | 136.5 (-17.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | CONN 71 – 67 HALL |
| Jan 14, 2026 | CONN 69 – 64 HALL |
| Mar 8, 2025 | CONN 81 – 50 HALL |
| Feb 15, 2025 | HALL 69 – 68 CONN |
| Mar 3, 2024 | CONN 91 – 61 HALL |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 31-8 | 17-16 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 10-10 |
| Home | 15-2 | 10-6 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-7 |
| Neutral | 10-1 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | W6 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.6 | 67.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 64.1 | 65.4 |
| Massey | 17.9 (#5) | 8.8 (#60) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.37 (#19) | 1.41 (#63) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.38 (#11) | 1.68 (#67) |
| RPI | 0.588 (#34) | 0.561 (#69) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | CONN | HALL |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 43.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 39.2 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 13.3 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.36 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 20.5% |
| ORB% | 38.0% | 30.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 28.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 45.3% | 46.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.9% | 21.1% |
| DRB% | 74.5% | 70.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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