Betting Lines
| Spread | KSU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | KSU -188 ISU +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | KSU +6 | 116 | Won |
| Massey | KSU -2.5 (+3.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 134.2 (-18.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | KSU -2.4 (+3.6) | 137.3 (-21.3) | 68% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | KSU -3.4 (+2.6) | 134.0 (-18.0) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | KSU -3.3 (+2.7) | 136.7 (-20.7) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | KSU -2.3 (+3.7) | 137.2 (-21.2) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | ISU 95 – 61 KSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | ISU 73 – 57 KSU |
| Feb 1, 2025 | KSU 80 – 61 ISU |
| Mar 14, 2024 | ISU 76 – 57 KSU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | KSU 65 – 58 ISU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 26-10 | 19-14 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 9-9 |
| Home | 16-1 | 13-3 |
| Away | 4-7 | 3-8 |
| Neutral | 6-2 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 67.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 62.6 |
| Massey | 13.1 (#22) | 14.2 (#15) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.58 (#12) | 2.43 (#18) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.02 (#17) | 3.05 (#16) |
| RPI | 0.598 (#26) | 0.586 (#37) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KSU | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 45.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 34.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.8 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.15 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 31.7% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.4% | 18.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.5% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.3% | 25.8% |
| DRB% | 70.6% | 73.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.6% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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