Betting Lines
| Spread | TEX -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | TEX -600 OU +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | TEX win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | TEX +2 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | TEX -12.3 (-10.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.2 (+26.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | TEX -11.7 (-9.7) | 142.9 (+25.1) | 88% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | TEX -10.7 (-8.7) | 142.1 (+25.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | TEX -11.4 (-9.4) | 146.4 (+21.6) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | TEX -11.6 (-9.6) | 147.1 (+20.9) | 88% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 8, 2026 | OU 88 – 85 TEX |
| Jan 31, 2026 | TEX 79 – 69 OU |
| Mar 9, 2025 | OU 76 – 72 TEX |
| Jan 16, 2025 | TEX 77 – 73 OU |
| Mar 9, 2024 | TEX 94 – 80 OU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 29-9 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 17-1 | 9-7 |
| Away | 4-6 | 2-8 |
| Neutral | 8-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.8 | 67.5 |
| Massey | 17.0 (#6) | 8.4 (#66) |
| Bradley-Terry | 2.90 (#8) | 1.53 (#59) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 3.45 (#9) | 2.23 (#47) |
| RPI | 0.617 (#14) | 0.546 (#94) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | TEX | OU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.6% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 35.5% |
| REB / G | 35.0 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 7.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 0.97 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 53.3% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 20.1% |
| ORB% | 29.4% | 23.8% |
| FT Rate | 24.0% | 21.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.3% | 47.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 22.4% | 15.6% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.1% | 21.8% |
Game Analysis
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