Betting Lines
| Spread | WYO -5.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 130.5 Over |
| Money | WYO -250 AF +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WYO win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | AF +6 | 144 | Lost |
| Massey | WYO -3.5 (-9.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 133.6 (+10.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WYO -2.4 (-8.4) | 135.9 (+8.1) | 61% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WYO -4.3 (-10.3) | 134.1 (+9.9) | 70% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WYO -2.8 (-8.8) | 136.6 (+7.4) | 64% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | WYO -2.5 (-8.5) | 137.0 (+7.0) | 65% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | WYO 66 – 62 AF |
| Dec 30, 2025 | WYO 68 – 56 AF |
| Feb 19, 2025 | WYO 69 – 62 AF |
| Jan 4, 2025 | WYO 70 – 65 AF |
| Mar 6, 2024 | WYO 74 – 63 AF |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-22 | 14-18 |
| Conference | 4-14 | 5-13 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-9 |
| Away | 1-8 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.1 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 67.1 |
| Massey | 0.6 (#156) | 0.7 (#152) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.47 (#224) | -0.01 (#174) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | 0.02 (#170) |
| RPI | 0.480 (#220) | 0.466 (#245) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WYO | AF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 46.4% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 35.4% |
| REB / G | 32.1 | 29.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.0 | 6.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.31 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 24.6% | 22.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 21.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 49.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 74.7% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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