Betting Lines
| Spread | SUU -8.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | SUU -400 UTU +280 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SUU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SUU +10 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SUU -8.1 (+1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.6 (-10.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SUU -6.0 (+4.0) | 153.9 (-1.9) | 77% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SUU -6.7 (+3.3) | 151.6 (+0.4) | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SUU -6.5 (+3.5) | 154.6 (-2.6) | 77% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SUU -6.7 (+3.3) | 155.7 (-3.7) | 77% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 1, 2026 | SUU 81 – 67 UTU |
| Jan 25, 2026 | UTU 102 – 91 SUU |
| Dec 30, 2025 | UTU 80 – 66 SUU |
| Mar 11, 2025 | UTU 72 – 65 SUU |
| Feb 28, 2025 | SUU 82 – 75 UTU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-13 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 5-13 |
| Home | 13-2 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-8 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 6-3 | 2-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.1 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.1 | 75.0 |
| Massey | 4.1 (#110) | -0.4 (#177) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.80 (#105) | -0.41 (#216) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.86 (#108) | -0.40 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.546 (#95) | 0.471 (#237) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SUU | UTU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 38.3% |
| REB / G | 36.8 | 33.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.0 | 9.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.78 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.1% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 22.0% |
| ORB% | 28.5% | 29.1% |
| FT Rate | 31.2% | 31.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.3% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.0% | 20.4% |
| DRB% | 73.5% | 73.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 26.6% |
Game Analysis
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