Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -133 DETM +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +22 | 170 | Lost |
| Massey | DETM -0.5 (-21.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 159.9 (+10.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -0.1 (-21.9) | 157.8 (+12.2) | 56% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -0.3 (-21.7) | 158.6 (+11.4) | 57% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -0.4 (-21.6) | 158.6 (+11.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -0.2 (-21.8) | 159.5 (+10.5) | 57% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 28, 2026 | DETM 95 – 89 OAK |
| Jan 24, 2026 | OAK 95 – 87 DETM |
| Feb 16, 2025 | OAK 93 – 83 DETM |
| Jan 18, 2025 | OAK 65 – 59 DETM |
| Mar 2, 2024 | OAK 75 – 70 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-19 | 14-19 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 9-11 |
| Home | 8-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 5-10 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.7 | 76.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.9 | 75.7 |
| Massey | -5.9 (#275) | -1.7 (#205) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.72 (#244) | -0.83 (#255) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.01 (#253) | -0.64 (#230) |
| RPI | 0.481 (#214) | 0.464 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.0% | 43.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.7% | 39.2% |
| REB / G | 31.1 | 36.0 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.09 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.1% | 51.7% |
| TOV% | 15.5% | 17.3% |
| ORB% | 25.0% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 23.2% | 20.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.7% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 67.1% | 69.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.9% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.